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Does the Iran war increase the risk of a Chinese attack on Taiwan?

China has reason to wait, but its window of opportunity has widened
3月 26, 2026 05:35 上午 | Taipei
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Few things, in the field of international relations, are more daunting for a world leader than an Oval Office press conference with Donald Trump. They are often bruising affairs for the visitor: Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelensky getting practically mauled for not expressing enough gratitude; German Chancellor Friedrich Merz being described as “difficult”; Prime Minister Mark Carney having to continually reiterate that Canada is not for sale. So Japan’s new Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi must have sat beside Trump on March 19 with some trepidation. Trump, ever bullish, did not disappoint when he quipped in response to a Japanese journalist who asked why the U.S. had not warned its allies it was going to strike Iran on February 28: “Who knows better about surprise than Japan? Why didn’t you tell me about Pearl Harbor?” Takaichi’s expression said it all, with the comment setting the tone for her three-day state visit in Washington.
As Europe confronts the unresolved shadows of empire, a Belgian court has opened the door to what may become the continent’s most consequential colonial-era criminal trial. Judges in Brussels ruled that Count Étienne Davignon, a 93-year-old former Belgian diplomat, can stand trial over the 1961 assassination of Patrice Lumumba—the first prime minister of what is now the Democratic Republic of Congo.
The March 17 decision marks the first time a former offi cial of a European colonial power will stand trial for alleged criminal complicity in a political assassination committed during the colonial era. It came a day after Spain’s King Felipe VI acknowledged that his country’s conquest of the Americas.
Lumumba, 35, was executed by Katangan separatists backed by Belgian interests, after being overthrown just months into independence. Belgium has acknowledged some culpability before. A 2002 parliamentary inquiry concluded that the state bore “moral responsibility” for the circumstances leading to the killing, but no one was held criminally accountable.

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The new intelligence assessment came as welcome relief to